Overtime Ireland

Don’t @ Me – Week 11 NFL Picks

NFL-Betting-Systems

Enjoying the NFL season? Is Fantasy Football just not enough excitement anymore? Well you have come to the right place. Here at “Don’t @ Me” we see ourselves as financial advisers, looking to help you to diversify your portfolio, and allocate your capital wisely in order to maximize profits for shareholders. In other words, I’m going to attempt to pick some winning wagers, in this, my week 11 NFL picks.

All odds/spreads are accurate as of 17th November 2017. And as always, if you were foolish enough to part with cash listening to this advice, don’t @ me.

Another week, another winning week. What else would you expect from Don’t @ Me at this stage? In week 10, Philip Rivers and Blake Bortles both clearly bet on the other team by the look of their fourth quarter performances, but I just barely survived with the Chargers covering by half a point. The same couldn’t be said of my Shoe in of the Week New England Patriots, who I think covered by roughly one million points? I couldn’t tell, I was behind the sofa crying watching my Broncos teams performance as they racked up their fifth straight loss. Meanwhile, the only team to let me down last week were the Bears, who even when Aaron Rodgers isn’t even on the field they couldn’t even get the win, never mind cover, in this so called “rivalry” that the Packers have won 14 of their 17 meeting since 2010… Serves me right for taking the Bears. And on that note, lets look ahead to Week 11.

Season Record: 21-9 (.700)

Shoe in of the Week: 8-2 (.800)

Denver Broncos -2.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (20/23):

What’s that old saying? Never bet on your team, never bet against your team? Well I’m going to break that two weeks in a row, after having profited off my beloved Denver Broncos humiliating defeat to New England last week, I’ll look to get them back to winning ways. Despite giving up 41 points in week 10, this Broncos defence is still 2nd in the league in terms of total yards, and if the Broncos are able to get pressure on Andy Dalton and limit the Bengals passing attack, they will be left with a Bengals running game that is the worst in the league, averaging a measly 3.1 yards per attempt. So in summary, I’m telling you to be on Brock Osweiler…

Give me strength…

Detroit Lions -3 over Chicago Bears (1/1):

Is this a retaliation for the Bears letting me down last week? Maybe. But the Lions have been prolific on offense of late, and are on the road to NFC North rival looking to get their third straight win and increase their chances at a post season birth in the NFC, where the wildcard race is wide open. $135 million dollar man Matt Stafford found himself on Forbes “30 under 30” list this week, and rightly so, throwing for the 5th most yards this season of any quarterback, and completing 72.1% of his passes on this current Lions winning streak. That gives us a passer rating of 96.3 for Stafford, and a Lions offense that is 6th in the NFL in scoring per game, going up against a Bears team that has scored less than 20 points in 7 of their 9 games this season. Detroit are a good road team, racking up three victories with just one defeat while outside the comfort of their dome in Detroit, and if the Lions want to be taken seriously as a playoff contender in 2017, this is a must win game.

And now its time for the Shoe in of the Week…

Minnesota Vikings -2.5 over LA Rams (5/6):

I almost hesitate to say this, but my Shoe in of the Week is on a 6 week win streak, with my last incorrect pick coming in week 4. And its definitely in danger this week, as two NFC heavyweights go toe to toe this Sunday as the Rams travel to Minnesota in the CASE KEENUM REVENGE GAME. We all had this game circled when the schedule came out, Jared Goff versus Case Keenum in a bid for NFC supremacy… ok not exactly.  But the Vikings and the Rams have asserted themselves as legitimate conference contenders in 2017 and we will learn a lot from their meeting this Sunday. Minnesota gives up the 5th least points per game (18.3 ppg), whereas the Rams score the most points per game in the league (32.9 ppg). However, while the Rams have been blowing teams out of late, their last three games have come against teams that have a combined winning percentage of .296 (Cardinals, Giants and Texans). This will easily be the Rams biggest test of the season so far since their week 5 matchup against division rival Seahawks, in which they were limited to only 10 points in their own building. Plus, the Vikings will get the return of pass rusher Everson Griffen, who has 10 sacks on the year which is good for third in the NFL. With the streak on the line, I’m saying Vikings -2.5. Shoe In.   

This OTI piece was written by Sean Keown. Sean is a Denver Broncos fan from Co Down, and is currently studying at Queens’ University Belfast. Sean can be found on twitter at @sean__keown

 


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