Don’t @ Me – Week 13 NFL Picks
Don’t @ Me – Week 13 NFL Picks
Enjoying the NFL season? Is Fantasy Football just not enough excitement anymore? Well you have come to the right place. Here at “Don’t @ Me” we see ourselves as financial advisers, looking to help you to diversify your portfolio, and allocate your capital wisely in order to maximize profits for shareholders. In other words, I’m going to attempt to pick some winning wagers, in this, my week 13 NFL picks.
All odds/spreads are accurate as of 1st December 2017. And as always, if you were foolish enough to part with cash listening to this advice, don’t @ me.
I’d be lying if I said I didn’t see a week like this coming. Yes, for the first time in my impeccable career, I went 0-3 in my weekly picks. I know. I expect more from me too. In retrospect: 3 road underdogs may not have been the smartest picks? Especially when two of those three picks (Browns & Broncos) include teams that would both be drafting inside the top 5 picks right now. Thank fully the month of November has come to an end, where I went 6-5-1 in my picks, but you the Overtime Ireland readers expect better, and I plan to make amends in December. Just look how upset Eli was after seeing my picks!
Season Record: 22-13-1 (.625)
Shoe in of the Week: 9-3 (.750)
Minnesota Vikings +3 over Atlanta Falcons (5/6):
Am I missing something here? If we look how these two teams have performed thus far in the season, Minnesota outrank the Falcons in yards per game and points per game, only slightly I’ll admit. However, Minnesota has a top 5 defence that held the Rams high powered offense to only 7 points. Overall Minnesota have been the more consistent of the two teams week in and week out, and come into this game on 10 days rest after they defeated the Lions on Thanksgiving. I realize the Falcons are on a three game win streak and have been looking at their best – however I would argue that defeating a Cowboys team without Zeke Elliot and Tyron Smith is all that impressive, nor is defeating NFC South rival Tampa, and were one Blair Walsh field goal miss away from an overtime game with Seattle. The Vikings have looked rock solid on this 7 game win streak, and come into this game with a healthier bill of health than the Falcons, who may be without two starting cornerbacks due to injury. With Minnesota looking to secure the all important bye week for the NFC playoffs, expect them to bring their A game to Atlanta this Sunday.
Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (10/11):
Ok so I’m breaking one of my rules here, but desperate times call for desperate measures. I have said in the past that the Steeler’s can be quite fishy when it comes to being a road favorite. Despite that, they have amassed a 5-1 away record so far this season, and should have no problem getting motivated for a clash with AFC North rival Cincinnati. I hate to play on the cliche associated with all AFC North teams (minus the Browns, sorry Cleveland), but THERE’S NO LOVE LOST BETWEEN THESE TWO TEAMS. Antonio Brown is having an MVP caliber season, leading the lead in receiving yards. To complement the passing attack, Pittsburgh also have the number one rusher in the league in the form of Le’Veon Bell, and they’re going to need them at their best to get past the inform Bengals defence. However, if we look closer at who this Bengals defence has been going up against, its probably the softest collection of wins of any team this season. No exaggeration. The Bengals have collected their 5 wins this season against the Browns, Bills, Colts, Broncos and Browns again. That’s the murderers row of Deshone Kizer (x2), Tyrod Taylor, Jacoby Brissett, and Brock Osweiler. The Steeler’s are a different team altogether, as they look to gather momentum before their big week 15 match up against fellow AFC superpower New England Patriots. Look for Vontaze Burfict to be ejected to the locker room early in the first quarter, and the Steeler’s to dispose of their rivals in a bid to secure the #1 seed in the AFC.
And now its time for the Shoe in of the Week…
Seattle Seahawks +5.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (5/6):
After the Saints let the Show in of the Week streak down last week, I’m looking to get back on track with my coveted Shoe in of the Week accolade, with Seattle, being a home underdog by more than 3 points for the first time since Russell Wilson got drafted back in 2012. Seattle’s home record has been well documented, and including their five home games this season, the Seahawks have been favoured in 41 of the 45 home games they’ve played since Wilson’s rookie year. In those 45 home games, the Seahawks have gone 36-9 and have never lost by more than seven points. Promising signs right? Well there’s more. The Seahawks have been home underdogs three times since 2012, and those three games not only did they cover, but they also won outright. Now I’m not implying that the Seahawks will win this Sunday, but they will give the Eagles a run for their money. Yes, the Eagles have been a great story so far this season, jumping out to a 10-1 start and look to be a legitimate super bowl contender. However, I would argue they are yet to have the signature, marquee win this year against a quality opponent. With wins against the Bears, Broncos and 49ers in 3 of the last 4 weeks, I think Philly will be tested a lot more than they have been recently, with Russell Wilson continuing to put in epic 4th quarter performances. In what is surely the best game on paper of the week, I like Seattle to cover the spread as they look to keep their playoff hopes alive in a highly competitive NFC. Seattle, Shoe In.
This OTI piece was written by Sean Keown. Sean is a Denver Broncos fan from Co Down, and is currently studying at Queens’ University Belfast. Sean can be found on twitter at @sean__keown