Overtime Ireland

Don’t @ Me Week 16 NFL Picks


Enjoying the NFL season? Is Fantasy Football just not enough excitement anymore? Well you have come to the right place. Here at “Don’t @ Me” we see ourselves as financial advisers, looking to help you to diversify your portfolio, and allocate your capital wisely in order to maximize profits for shareholders. In other words, I’m going to attempt to pick some winning wagers, in this, my week 16 NFL picks.

All odds/spreads are accurate as of 21st December 2017. And as always, if you were foolish enough to part with cash listening to this advice, don’t @ me.

Good news! Of my three picks in week 15, none of them were wrong! Ok this comes with a slight caveat. Two of my three picks were pushes, with New England and Dallas both hitting exactly on their 3 point spreads. However I did pick San Francisco and Jimmy Garoppolo to beat the Titans on a last second Robbie Gould field goal, so it wasn’t a completely lost week. But we have arrived in late December, so lets try and get a Christmas miracle and go 3-0 in this weeks picks.

Season Record: 25-17-3 (.589)

Shoe in of the Week Record: 10-4-1 (.700)

New Orleans Saints -5.5 over Atlanta Falcons (20/23):

The playoffs start this week for the NFC South (Sorry Tampa Bay – not you), as the standings within that division come to a three team stand off between the Saints, Falcons, and Panthers. In the previous meeting between these two, Atlanta did come away with the victory. However, Atlanta were the home team that day AND it was a Thursday night game which are always unpredictable at best. Not to mention the Saints intercepted Matt Ryan three times in the same contest, so we know the Saints defence can force turnovers on this hot and cold Falcons offense. One final excuse for the Saints Thursday night performance back in week 14, was they were without star rookie running back and runaway leader in the offensive rookie of the year race, Alvin Kamara. Without Kamara, the Saints were held to just 50 total rushing yards on 15 attempts. The same will not be said of this weeks game. In the second meeting between two teams – especially rivals like these two – I always prefer taking the loser of the first meeting, as generally they will have learnt more in defeat. Take the more consistent Saints in this game which will have huge consequences on the NFC playoff picture.

New York Jets +6.5 over LA Chargers (20/21):

Why the hell not, right? The Chargers after stumbling their way to an 0-4 start this season still have ever so slight playoff aspirations, and need a lot to go their way to make it to the post season after a 30-13 loss to AFC West rival Kansas City. But first, they will have to take care of the Jets in Met Life Stadium. The Jets in their 7 home games thus far in 2017 are a mediocre 4-3 record, and will be looking to cap off their 2017 home schedule with a victory. Of their 3 loses at home this year, they’ve come to the Falcons, Panthers, and Patriots, who are all playoff calibre teams, and the Jets lost by 8 or less on all three. The Chargers flying from West to East for a Christmas Eve game didn’t fare too well last season, as the Chargers Christmas gift wrapped the 2016 Cleveland Browns their only win that season, despite the then San Diego Chargers being a heavy favourite in that match up. The Chargers love to shoot themselves in the foot when it comes to must win games, and this has all the tell tale signs of another Philip Rivers classic. If the Chargers become too concerned with what other teams are doing around the league, the Jets could sneak up and make this one a little too close for comfort. Take the home underdog in this one, and hope for a Christmas miracle.

And now its time for the Shoe in of the Week…

LA Rams -6.5 over Tennessee Titans (20/23):

After the first ever push for a Shoe in of the Week, I’m hoping the Rams can help me get back to the winning side of the handicap. The Rams only needed one half last week to absolutely dismantle their NFC West rival Seattle, putting up 34 points by halftime, put themselves in to the driving seat of the division. The Rams aren’t short on motivation either, with a win this week sealing the division title for the first time since 2003 and guaranteeing at least one home playoff game in January. Last week we saw how unforgiving this Rams pass rush is, with Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson going down seven times in week 15, making the Rams defence second overall in terms of total sacks. This is bad news for Titans QB Marcus Mariota, who since an early season injury has seemed somewhat hesitant to make plays with his feet, keeping himself in the pocket, and greatly limiting what the Titans offense is capable of. The Rams are 5-2 against the spread on the road this season, and hopefully will continue this winning trend.

This OTI piece was written by Sean Keown. Sean is a Denver Broncos fan from Co Down, and is currently studying at Queens’ University Belfast. Sean can be found on twitter at @sean__keown


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