Don’t @ Me – Week 9 NFL Picks
Enjoying the NFL season? Is Fantasy Football just not enough excitement anymore? Well you have come to the right place. Here at “Don’t @ Me” we see ourselves as financial advisers, looking to help you to diversify your portfolio, and allocate your capital wisely in order to maximize profits for shareholders. In other words, I’m going to attempt to pick some winning wagers, in this, my week 9 NFL picks.
All odds/spreads are accurate as of 2nd November 2017. And as always, if you were foolish enough to part with cash listening to this advice, don’t @ me.
Another week in the NFL and another 2-1 week for my picks. I absolutely refused to take the bait with the Chargers, and narrowly escaped with New England covering by just half a point. Meanwhile in London the Vikings survived a 1st half scare to cover against the Browns (now undefeated in only 5 continents in 2017). Then that leads the lowly Bengals, who won by a point at home, to a team that has already quit on this season. For shame. Still, 2-1, no complaints, but we need to get back to 3-0 form…
With the midway point of the season now came and gone, I thought I’d go through what the good folks at Don’t @ Me have done so far this season. Through 8 weeks in the NFL season I’ve gone 16-8. So going through some past results, if you put €20 on each of my picks, you’d have a profit of €132 so far this season. Wow. Can you believe this advice is free? Me neither. Anyways, on to the picks.
Season Record: 16-8 (.667)
Shoe in of the Week: 6-2 (.750)
LA Rams -3.5 over NY Giants (21/20):
These two teams looked to have completely flip flopped from their performances last season. The Rams who were a disaster offensively in 2016 come in to this game as a top 5 team in terms of points scored and points per game. Meanwhile the Giants have comeback from with a playoff hangover, managing only one win through 8 weeks of the season. The Giants will be without top cornerback Janoris Jenkins, opening up a Rams passing game that with Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Sammy Watkins and Tavon Austin, could easily punish this Giants secondary. This game will likely hinge on the performance of star running back Todd Gurley, who is currently the 5th leading rusher in the league this year, going up against a Giants defence which is currently giving up just over 120 rushing yards per game this season. If the Rams truly are a playoff contender and want to keep pace with the NFC West leading Seattle Seahawks, the Rams should be able to take care of business against a team that is already well out of the playoff hunt.
Carolina Panthers (Scr) over Atlanta Falcons (10/11)
The first pick em game I’ve featured this season sees a NFC South showdown between two teams who have desperately tried to recover from recent Super Bowl loses. Carolina snapped a two game losing streak dominating the Buccaneers in week 8, meanwhile Atlanta snapped a three game losing streak against the New York Jets. Despite starting out 3-0 this year, Atlanta has looked about as bad as they did in the second half of Super Bowl 51. Matt Ryan legitimately looked like he had never played football outside before in week 8, and he wont have the comfort of a dome this Sunday either. Adding to that, Carolina are currently second in the league in sacks this season, behind a stacked defensive line that forced three turnovers against Tampa Bay in week 8. I say the home team gets things done on Sunday, and a much needed divisional win for Carolina.
And now its time for the Shoe in of the Week…
Dallas Cowboys +1 over Kansas City Chiefs (10/11)
If there has been a recurring theme so far for Don’t @ Me this season, it has been to take the home underdog, and its served us pretty well thus far. At the time of writing, its still unclear whether or not Ezekiel Elliot will play on Sunday, as his legal woes with the NFL have still not come to a conclusion, despite his initial suspension being handed down in August. Dallas is coming off its first back to back victories this year, and have looked mighty impressive while doing so, and will look for a big win against Kansas City to put them back in the playoff hunt. Alfred Morris and Darren McFadden will look to replace Elliot’s 23 carries per game and share the load of this Dallas rushing attack. If the Cowboys can get the run game going, we saw what the Steelers were able to do to the Chiefs in week 6, rushing for over 170 yards and a touchdown. The Steelers put out the blue print on how to beat the Chiefs that night, and Dallas should look to replicate that formula. While the Chiefs did revert to their earlier season form against the Broncos on Monday Night Football, Dallas will be much more competitive against a Dallas team with a far more competent quarterback in the form of second year passer Dak Prescott. I’m taking Dallas and the points for the Shoe in of the Week.
*Editors note: Elliot has been cleared to play this week
This OTI piece was written by Sean Keown. Sean is a Denver Broncos fan from Co Down, and is currently studying at Queens’ University Belfast. Sean can be found on twitter at @sean__keown